- Alaska:
- U.S. Senate: Mary Peltola (D) 48% – Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
- Governor: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 54% – Bernadette Wilson (R) 46%*
- Iowa:
- U.S. Senate: Josh Turek (D) 48% – Ashley Hinson (R) 47%
- Governor: Rob Sand (D) 51% – Zach Lahn (R) 43%
- Kansas:
- U.S. Senate: Adam Hamilton (D) 49% – Roger Marshall (R) 44% – David Graham (L) 4%
- Governor: Cindy Holscher (D) 48% – Ty Masterson (R) 47%
- Maine:
- U.S. Senate: Troy Jackson (D) 51% – Susan Collins (R) 45%
- Governor: Hannah Pingree (D) 49% – Bobby Charles (R) 37% – Richard Bennett (I) 8%
- Michigan:
- U.S. Senate: Abdul El-Sayed (D) 53% – Mike Rogers (R) 42%
- Governor: Jocelyn Benson (D) 52% – John James (R) 39%
- Ohio:
- U.S. Senate: Sherrod Brown (D) 49% – Jon Husted (R) 44%
- Governor: Amy Acton (D) 49% – Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 43%
- Texas:
- U.S. Senate: James Talarico (D) 50% – Ken Paxton (R) 43%
- Governor: Gina Hinojosa (D) 48% – Greg Abbott (R) 47%
* Ranked Choice Voting
IA Crosstabs IA Toplines ME Crosstabs ME Toplines AK Crosstabs AK Toplines OH Crosstabs OH Toplines MI Crosstabs MI Toplines TX Crosstabs TX Toplines KS Crosstabs KS Toplines All Crosstabs All Toplines Governor Article Senate Article Upshot Article“Our final U.S. Senate polls show Democrats with leads of 5 to 11 points in Kansas (5), Ohio (5), Maine (6), Texas (7), and Michigan (11),” said Don Levy, SRI’s Executive Director. “In Alaska Peltola (D) leads Sullivan (R) by 2 points and Iowa is virtually tied. Now, it’s time for all votes to be cast and the counts to speak louder than the polls. While a blue wave, and Democratic control of the Senate is, according to our polls, a distinct possibility, with so many races within the poll’s total margin of error, a Senate majority for either party remains possible.”
“The races for Governor in the battleground states currently show the Democrats up 8 or more points in Alaska, Iowa, Maine and Michigan,” Levy said. “In the much-watched race in Ohio, Acton leads Ramaswamy by six points and both Kansas and Texas are too close to call.”
Margin of Error: For the sample of completed interviews, among the likely electorate, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus:
- 5.0 points in Alaska, including a design effect of 1.47;
- 4.7 points in Iowa, including a design effect of 1.45;
- 4.4 points in Kansas, including a design effect of 1.30;
- 4.7 points in Maine, including a design effect of 1.47;
- 3.8 points in Michigan, including a design effect of 1.33;
- 4.4 points in Ohio, including a design effect of 1.33;
- 3.4 points in Texas, including a design effect of 1.29;
- 1.6 points across all seven states, including a design effect of 1.37.
Contact Information:
Siena Research Institute Director, Dr. Don Levy is available starting at 9:30 AM ET Monday, November 2nd, to discuss the findings.
Levy can be reached at (518)-284-3551 or don.levy@reconmr.com to arrange for interviews in person or via phone.
